Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen will inform lawmakers on Tuesday that the United States has had a “historic” financial restoration from the pandemic however that regulators should vigilantly safeguard the monetary system from an array of looming dangers to protect the good points of the final three years.
Ms. Yellen will ship the feedback in testimony to the House Financial Services Committee almost a yr after the Biden administration and federal regulators took aggressive steps to stabilize the nation’s banking system following the abrupt failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.
While turmoil within the banking system has largely subsided, the Financial Stability Oversight Council, which is headed by Ms. Yellen, has been reviewing the way it tracks and responds to dangers to monetary stability. Like different authorities our bodies, the council didn’t anticipate or warn regulators in regards to the issues that felled a number of regional banks.
“Our continued economic strength depends on a solid and resilient U.S. financial system,” Ms. Yellen mentioned in her ready remarks.
Last yr’s financial institution collapses stemmed from a confluence of occasions, together with a failure by banks to correctly put together for the fast rise in rates of interest. As rates of interest rose, Silicon Valley Bank and others absorbed enormous losses, making a panic amongst depositors who scrambled to drag out their cash. To forestall a extra widespread run on the banking system, regulators took management of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and invoked emergency measures to guarantee depositors that they might not lose their funds.
The financial institution failures — and the federal government’s rescue — prompted debate over whether or not extra wanted to be carried out to make sure that buyer deposits have been protected and whether or not financial institution regulators have been in a position to correctly police threat.
Ms. Yellen is anticipated to face questions on what has been carried out within the final yr to safeguard the monetary system and to put out preparations for coping with future threats. The International Monetary Fund mentioned in a report final week that expectations for declining rates of interest had led to larger demand for dangerous monetary property and that some sectors, resembling business actual property, continued to face the prospect of defaults due to declining workplace property values.
The Treasury secretary is anticipated to inform lawmakers that the Financial Stability Oversight Council, which submitted its annual report back to Congress late final yr, has been targeted on the flexibility of banks to soak up losses, together with enhancing the method of winding down failing banks in an more and more interconnected monetary system. She will be aware that different kinds of monetary establishments additionally pose dangers and plans to level out the Securities and Exchange Commission’s scrutiny of hedge funds and cash market funds.
The Biden administration has additionally been targeted on longer-term threats. Ms. Yellen will say regulators are persevering with to focus on climate-related monetary stability dangers and name on them to press ahead with disclosure guidelines that might permit buyers and lenders to think about local weather change when making selections. Cybersecurity and the emergence of synthetic intelligence are additionally dangers on the radar of regulators.
“The council is closely monitoring the increasing use of artificial intelligence in financial services,” Ms. Yellen will say, including that the potential value discount advantages of the brand new know-how might include new cybersecurity threats.
Despite these considerations, the Treasury secretary will supply an upbeat evaluation of the U.S. financial system, saying financial progress is robust whereas inflation has declined considerably. She will describe the labor market as wholesome and be aware that family wealth of Americans has elevated sharply since 2019.
“Families are now putting their additional income and accumulated savings back into the economy,” Ms. Yellen will say.
