Source: FiveThirtyEight (polling averages)
Note: Data is as of Dec. 6.
In the 2024 Republican major race for the White House, cash issues. Polling, too. Viral debate moments. Endorsements. But one different ingredient has been serving to to make this a race in contrast to every other: the highway.
Many of Donald J. Trump’s rivals have far outpaced him campaigning, by way of days spent on the path. But their prolific campaigning has not shifted the dynamics of the race or the polls, which Mr. Trump continues to dominate. An evaluation by The New York Times exhibits that who’s on high and who’s on the backside of the polls is out of sync with who’s been hitting the marketing campaign path the toughest. As the Republican front-runner, Mr. Trump has been one of the uneven campaigners, whereas one of many greatest lengthy pictures has been the busiest.
Mr. Trump has spent lower than half the variety of days campaigning as Vivek Ramaswamy, the Trumpian entrepreneur who has spent probably the most days campaigning.
Days campaigning 145
Polling common 5.1%
Days campaigning 55
Polling common 59.8%
The Times spent greater than a yr monitoring the candidates and their deliberate occasions throughout the nation and within the early voting states. The evaluation counted the variety of days spent campaigning slightly than particular person appearances. So if a candidate made six appearances on the identical day, these appearances counted as a single day.
As of Tuesday, Mr. Trump had logged 55 days of campaigning, in contrast with 145 days by Mr. Ramaswamy. No candidate has blanketed the map greater than Mr. Ramaswamy, the primary millennial Republican to run for president. While he has racked up 100 days in Iowa and New Hampshire, Mr. Ramaswamy has additionally charted extra of a nationwide footprint, visiting Kentucky, Illinois, Maryland and different states that a few of his rivals have bypassed.
Days campaigning 87
Polling common 10.5%
Nikki Haley, the previous South Carolina governor, spent 87 days campaigning, the second-highest complete of the highest Republican contenders. Ms. Haley has spent 70 of these days in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, her residence state. Rivaling her schedule is that of Asa Hutchinson, the previous Arkansas governor, who has spent 84 days campaigning however who has did not qualify for latest debates and is at lower than 1 p.c within the polls.
Days campaigning 79
Polling common 13%
Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida has dropped in nationwide polls, a slide typically cited by his skeptics. His normal reply to them has been, in impact: Wait till Iowa. His marketing campaign introduced on Saturday that he had visited all 99 counties of Iowa, the place The Times discovered that he had spent 28 of his 79 complete days of campaigning. His schedule stands out in one other manner — for breaking marketing campaign norms. His tremendous PAC, Never Back Down, coordinated a minimum of 35 of his complete days on the path, dealing with the sort of logistics which might be historically the work not of out of doors teams however of campaigns themselves and which might be testing marketing campaign finance legal guidelines.
Days campaigning 35
Polling common 2.9%
Chris Christie, a former New Jersey governor and Trump critic, has all however written off Iowa and its extra conservative voters, one that is still fiercely loyal to the forty fifth president. He has concentrated as a substitute on New Hampshire, spending 22 of his 35 complete days of campaigning there, as he searches for momentum with independent-minded Republicans within the state.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/12/06/us/politics/trump-2024-polls-gop-candidates.html
