A poll by national broadcaster NHK showed the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), which has ruled Japan for almost all of its post-war history, and junior coalition partner were set to win between 174 and 254 of the 465 seats in the lower house of Japan’s parliament.
The main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan is predicted to win 128 to 191 seats. The outcome may force the LDP or CDPJ into power-sharing agreements with other parties to form a government.
Ishiba called the snap election immediately after being elected to head the party last month, hoping to win a public mandate for his premiership. His predecessor Fumio Kishida quit after his support cratered due to anger over a cost of living crunch and a scandal involving unrecorded donations to lawmakers.
The uncertainty comes nine days before US voters choose a new president and as Japan faces economic headwinds and increasingly tense relations with neighbouring China.
The LDP has held an outright majority since it returned to power in 2012 after a brief spell of CDPJ rule.
Political wrangling could roil markets and be a headache for the Bank of Japan, if Ishiba chooses a partner that favours maintaining near-zero interest rates when the central bank wants to gradually raise them.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/japan-election-exit-polls-ldp-opposition-cdp-4705806
