Federal election 2025: Final Freshwater Strategy ballot reveals Labor struggling for majority authorities | USAEMALL.com

Australians could soon have a hung parliament, a closely watched election poll has revealed.

The final AFR/Freshwater Strategy poll, released on Thursday night before voting day on Saturday, shows Labor ahead of the Coalition 51.5 per cent to 48.5 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.

Labor’s primary vote sits at 33 per cent, while the Coalition’s is at 37 per cent.

Independents, meanwhile, are on track to secure 18 per cent of the vote, while the Greens look set to nab 12 per cent.

The poll shows a 0.6 per cent swing towards Labor from the 2022 election, and if that swing holds across all electorates, the firm estimates Labor could jag a slim majority of 76 seats.

But when the polling company ran simulations taking in demographic and regional variations, it expected Labor to win 74 seats and the Coalition to finish with 64 seats.

The results come in below other polling that shows Labor on track for majority government.

The final Redbridge polls shows Labor ahead of the Coalition 53-47 on the two party preferred vote.

YouGov’s modelling points to Mr Albanese winning a solid majority, with 84 seats with the Coalition set to lose a net total of 11 seats to end up with just 47 in the 150-seat parliament.

Independents would hold 14, Greens three, and KAP and Centre Alliance with one each.

But while Labor is scuffling to snatch a majority victory, Peter Dutton continues to decline in popularity, the Freshwater poll shows, with his preferred prime minister rating falling another two points since April.

Anthony Albanese, meanwhile, climbed three points over the month.

The Opposition Leader has promised to visit 28 key electorates in the final week as he sought to pick up the 21 extra seats it would need to win.

He was keeping up appearances while in his own marginal seat of Dickson in northern Brisbane Thursday.

“I feel positive. I feel good about where our candidates are and we’ve selected some amazing people,” Mr Dutton told reporters.

“We’ve got a record number of doors knocked in electorates, in many cases, and this is evidenced in the research that we’ve done.

“Our candidates have got a higher name ID than some lazy, sitting Labor members.

“They have done more work, they’re more connected with their local electorate, and that’s why I think we see a lot of surprises seat by seat on Saturday night, because there is an enormous amount of work that’s been undertaken on the ground.”

In another interview on 2SM, Mr Dutton pushed back on internal criticism of his campaign, saying he had put in three years of hard policy work.

“We’ve had dozens and dozens of backwards and forwards with the PBO (parliamentary budgetary office) on different iterations of policy. We’ve got a great organisation,” he said.

“People will play games and the rest of it, but is that going to help us convey our message? No. The only thing I’m focused on, quite honestly, is how we can save our country.”

Of the election more generally, Mr Dutton insisted “it’s not over” and said “the race is on”.

The election is held on Saturday.